TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes49c35,532$17,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,315.8749136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed No53c9,448$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.082864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No50c8,656$4,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,36619952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No51c6,090$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.085850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes63c5,740$3,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,635.012,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No24c4,971$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,756.782,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No50c4,525$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.082759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No52c4,046$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.5217049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No35c3,892$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.1275240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes50c3,431$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.2523733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes48c3,328$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.981,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes68c2,313$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.58,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9607244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c1,875$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.985,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes48c1,838$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.841,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No51c1,717$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.981,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No23c1,574$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.7811143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No53c1,528$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.33652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No25c1,200$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90021538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No52c1,024$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.352,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c899.2$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.41,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes80c750$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…01e5backed Yes77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked No27c643.17$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.292437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c635.92$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.43,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes75c527.38$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3983548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No52c491$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.681,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No52c461.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7551749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No45c420$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2314967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes78c384.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes48c374.96$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9819447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No41c358.27$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.373,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43b4…7e4abacked Yes78c349.09$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes58c258.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Yes47c249.2$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.123938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf28b…60c6backed No34c242.65$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.421145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No38c233.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8611354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dd9…5d16backed No24c229.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.39944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No37c208.89$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes50c203$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.252,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…9086backed Yes54c192.59$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes49c177.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No32c161.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.397723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes50c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3255946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes76c148.06$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.281,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes71c140.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.563743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No46c130.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0834747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No19c123.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0117051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9045746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7eb…a668backed Yes72c119.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.391963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed No24c118$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9030231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No51c112.5$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2514359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5f4…d4b0backed Yes53c105$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3b…c22cbacked No48c103.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5312933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7915247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd08b…b74cbacked Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.324535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Yes76c98.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.994362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes75c88.86$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0914264.1%91 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No53c87.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0316751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked No53c86.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7919543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.334461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes22c77.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173225%8 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes50c74.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.374770.2%33 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No57c71.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7589846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc553…9b3cbacked No26c69.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No49c62.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5313856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes62c59.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.728347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…a1a8backed Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes37c56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.519632.3%31 W · 65 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.575632.1%18 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes49c51.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4432139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No51c50.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9618050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No34c50.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.986526.2%17 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.56927.5%19 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Yes51c46.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No45c45.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfd…a7e7backed Yes55c43.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed No52c40.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.513743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes76c39.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes77c35.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4935240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes31c35.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.071,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes49c33.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3431039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes77c31.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6719437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed No51c31.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.259446.8%44 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb5…3444backed No52c30.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb3…4a24backed Yes53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Yes53c29.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.771540%6 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Yes51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.893363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1790…30f7backed No51c28.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes72c28.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1663061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.