MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd9c069beb54dfc159c27c2727c85cce7122d5c063af5c8dc0642909992d70a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Cincinnati Reds, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8853…c058backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 100,000$19,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,748.94 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab3…64afbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 95,539$40,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,126.34 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 75,050$43,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,521.07 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 60,152$35,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,933.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.96 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 8,016$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.56 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 7,195$4,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.8 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 6,799$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.41 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 5,604$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 3,132$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 1,795$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,593$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.11 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,399$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.11 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,257$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 905$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.4 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 900$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 898$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 787.42$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.84 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 710.59$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.55 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 673.33$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.53 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…3776backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 660.27$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…421ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 653.2$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 635.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…19b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 620.69$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 619.37$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 574$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.34 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 512.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.2 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 473.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…cd4fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 454.3$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 398.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 389.02$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 335.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 317.58$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 291.53$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.53 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 262.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…29b7backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 249.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 239.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 239$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 232.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 230.27$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 228.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 227.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 206.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 202.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 186.95$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…e747backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 183$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 174.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 166.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…7895backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 166.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 158.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…17ebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 125.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 121$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 119$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…b2b2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 118.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 115.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 111.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 111.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 106$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 99.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c2…b137backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 530 | 55.8%296 W · 234 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 70.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…0944backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 67.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 66.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…26b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 66.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-6.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.