La Liga · resolved market
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23c77bb5bbd22718ca46ac8dfffa5a2553df8dc6017d56770c55d816f2d29326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 78c | 20,000$15,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,467.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 6,242$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.11 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 4,618$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.51 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 4,520$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.91 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 3,338$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.39 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,090$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.4 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 1,980$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.45 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,759$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 1,250$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.27 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 1,165$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.06 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdc…921fbacked Yes | 20c | 529.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Yes | 23c | 498.4$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 417.02$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 377.31$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.58 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 77c | 360$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 22c | 340.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc562…41e0backed Yes | 18c | 328.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 22c | 295.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 24c | 276.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 77c | 263.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 60c | 263$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 35c | 251$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…0f26backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 227.97$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Yes | 39c | 223.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…10dcbacked Yes | 31c | 182$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 21c | 180.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yes | 24c | 144.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Yes | 38c | 125.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9299…8f9cbacked Yes | 17c | 120.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 58c | 120.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 73c | 119.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 19c | 111.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 29c | 106.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 98.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 22c | 88.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 77c | 85.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 76c | 79.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 76c | 79.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 77c | 71.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 76c | 66.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked No | 74c | 65.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 61c | 56.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 77c | 52.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 20c | 52.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 21c | 52.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 35c | 46.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 29c | 43.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Yes | 32c | 40.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 79c | 28.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 58c | 26.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 71c | 23.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 79c | 23.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 272 | 57.7%157 W · 115 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 77c | 21.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 152 | 60.5%92 W · 60 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked No | 77c | 20.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed No | 78c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 77c | 13.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-08-17?this page
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.