La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a3e790b31cc88c95747f8ce13f91fed0180bc32f07feeb57ec1de8b729ab796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 52c | 8,762$4,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.07 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes | 43c | 4,682$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 3,476$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.24 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 2,367$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.35 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 47c | 1,932$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 911.93$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.84 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 738.75$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.37 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 2c | 640.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 397.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 28c | 389.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.47 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 55c | 282.41$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…4907backed Yes | 43c | 253.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 211.46$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 206.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 147$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked No | 29c | 139.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 43c | 138.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 51c | 121.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 51c | 121.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked No | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 46c | 108.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 34c | 97.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 65c | 96.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 54c | 95.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 86.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…7e8dbacked Yes | 70c | 84.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 36c | 77.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 28c | 70.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 72c | 63.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 50c | 60.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 62c | 54.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 42c | 40.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 37.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 45c | 37.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 49c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd955…d1b3backed No | 52c | 26.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 42c | 25.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 74c | 24.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 56c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 23.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 73c | 19.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…7b76backed Yes | 77c | 17.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked Yes | 66c | 17.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-08-17?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.