Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Dolehide (-1.5) vs Podrez (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aa8d40855eb6fa5429c509b9d926dd90c208a6b7fa7fc5bdb0fca84c9ecfdf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Podrezof Dolehide, Podrez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Dolehide | 56c | 33,993$19,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,005.37 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Podrez | 44c | 18,858$8,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,594 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Podrez | 44c | 15,104$6,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,486.54 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Podrez | 42c | 12,330$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,130.56 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Dolehide | 58c | 11,840$6,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,829.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…8e00backed Dolehide | 59c | 11,176$6,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,564.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…91cdbacked Dolehide | 54c | 5,920$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b38…697fbacked Dolehide | 57c | 5,332$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Podrez | 41c | 5,121$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.94 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…0806backed Dolehide | 57c | 4,209$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Podrez | 45c | 4,181$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.81 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Podrez | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Podrez | 42c | 2,030$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.68 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked Podrez | 48c | 1,750$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Podrez | 43c | 1,666$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.62 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Podrez | 43c | 1,613$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.04 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Dolehide | 54c | 1,298$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1d…b9b0backed Dolehide | 59c | 1,158$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Podrez | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Podrez | 43c | 1,050$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed Podrez | 44c | 770.4$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Podrez | 43c | 689.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Podrez | 49c | 601.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.12 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Podrez | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Podrez | 45c | 582.02$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.02 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…f211backed Dolehide | 54c | 552.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Podrez | 43c | 500.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.89 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…b03abacked Podrez | 43c | 459$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Podrez | 46c | 457$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.78 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Podrez | 44c | 399.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Podrez | 43c | 392$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed Podrez | 45c | 326.4$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Podrez | 41c | 240$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Podrez | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Podrez | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Podrez | 43c | 229.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Podrez | 43c | 229.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Podrez | 43c | 229.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Podrez | 44c | 224.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Podrez | 46c | 213$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…d5d1backed Dolehide | 53c | 165.04$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Podrez | 42c | 155.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Podrez | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Dolehide | 53c | 138.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Podrez | 43c | 137.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Podrez | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Podrez | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Podrez | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Podrez | 43c | 112.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Podrez | 45c | 108.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Dolehide | 56c | 97.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Podrez | 47c | 95.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Podrez | 43c | 87.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Podrez | 43c | 86.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Podrez | 44c | 84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Podrez | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Podrez | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Podrez | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Podrez | 45c | 75.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Podrez | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Podrez | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Podrez | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked Dolehide | 55c | 50.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…8eefbacked Podrez | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…d0febacked Podrez | 44c | 45.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Podrez | 49c | 44.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…d8fcbacked Dolehide | 51c | 44.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Podrez | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Dolehide | 54c | 36.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Podrez | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed Dolehide | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Podrez | 46c | 23.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Dolehide (-1.5) vs Podrez (+1.5)this page
- Set 1 Winner: Dolehide vs PodrezPodrez won
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika PodrezVeronika Podrez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.