Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cuiaba: Nicolas Oliveira vs Carlos Maria Zarate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdbeda5c07eb93aa8819a46ce37697faa802cddd0b7db1297fd809bfa0964899
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlos Maria Zarateof Nicolas Oliveira, Carlos Maria Zarate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 71c | 6,565$4,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.09 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 31c | 3,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…ba8bbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 68c | 2,844$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Nicolas Oliveira | 21c | 1,894$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.57 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 78c | 1,108$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.65 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…22c8backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 64c | 1,085$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.95 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nicolas Oliveira | 22c | 1,076$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.49 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nicolas Oliveira | 31c | 996.5$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.59 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nicolas Oliveira | 30c | 827.5$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.83 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 64c | 749.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c74…205cbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 78c | 638$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…cf78backed Nicolas Oliveira | 24c | 595.53$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 78c | 488.94$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 39c | 459.03$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.14 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Nicolas Oliveira | 13c | 440.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nicolas Oliveira | 36c | 429.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.76 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Nicolas Oliveira | 44c | 429.8$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 72c | 416.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.51 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Nicolas Oliveira | 35c | 321.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 65c | 307.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 75c | 301.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 14c | 301.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Nicolas Oliveira | 44c | 265.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nicolas Oliveira | 28c | 250.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 32c | 223.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Nicolas Oliveira | 28c | 214.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 31c | 213$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Nicolas Oliveira | 27c | 202.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nicolas Oliveira | 28c | 200.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Nicolas Oliveira | 30c | 189.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 29c | 172.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Nicolas Oliveira | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nicolas Oliveira | 12c | 143.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nicolas Oliveira | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 40c | 126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 74c | 123$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…7765backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 80c | 121.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 23c | 110.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Nicolas Oliveira | 30c | 101.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed Nicolas Oliveira | 33c | 100.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Nicolas Oliveira | 13c | 89.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 62c | 77.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Nicolas Oliveira | 36c | 64.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 26c | 62.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 127 | 34.6%44 W · 83 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Nicolas Oliveira | 27c | 56.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 55c | 54.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 77c | 51.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 74c | 46.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 27c | 43.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be0…d25cbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 67c | 41.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Nicolas Oliveira | 34c | 41.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 66c | 38.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Nicolas Oliveira | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 75c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Nicolas Oliveira | 41c | 24.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 61c | 18.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.