TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tyler: Liam Draxl vs Braden Shick

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liam Draxlof Liam Draxl, Braden Shick
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,254
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,254 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Braden Shick13c7,292$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.468,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Liam Draxl72c6,079$4,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.158,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Liam Draxl79c5,000$3,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.076,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Braden Shick30c3,979$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.581,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Braden Shick15c3,404$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.281,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Braden Shick29c3,155$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.0357842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Braden Shick20c2,649$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Liam Draxl71c2,448$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.921,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Braden Shick27c2,254$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.7811237.5%42 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Braden Shick14c2,025$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.3357321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Braden Shick14c1,518$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.713,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Braden Shick12c1,312$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6442125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1bf…e36bbacked Braden Shick9c1,202$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Braden Shick31c1,033$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3885348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Braden Shick19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Braden Shick1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10640%0 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Braden Shick9c670.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5775312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Braden Shick19c500$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.924,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Liam Draxl71c416.65$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.831,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Braden Shick30c340$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10269253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Liam Draxl70c292.99$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.123,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Braden Shick9c276.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.83208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Braden Shick25c252.97$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.471,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1be…9662backed Braden Shick10c239.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Braden Shick29c225.8$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4860856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Liam Draxl70c210.81$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Braden Shick29c205.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6065434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…5d44backed Braden Shick21c190.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405514.5%8 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Braden Shick18c190.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.831,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Liam Draxl75c177.41$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.841,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Braden Shick18c173.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.981,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Braden Shick27c164.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.811,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Liam Draxl68c160.12$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2433540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Liam Draxl73c159.65$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Braden Shick17c144.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Braden Shick14c138.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.673648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Braden Shick19c122.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.22,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Braden Shick9c121$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.354,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Liam Draxl71c120.37$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9758745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Braden Shick19c120$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.741,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Liam Draxl68c117.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6840554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Liam Draxl63c116.54$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1244349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Liam Draxl71c114.56$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2291755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Liam Draxl71c104.86$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.411,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Liam Draxl65c100.22$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.541,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Liam Draxl71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2953843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Liam Draxl70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3068951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Liam Draxl66c99.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3415248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Liam Draxl77c97.81$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.933,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Braden Shick14c92.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.172,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Liam Draxl74c91.5$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7973748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Braden Shick32c87.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Liam Draxl60c83.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.839035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Liam Draxl70c83$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.97,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6944…3902backed Liam Draxl79c82.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.678662.8%54 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Braden Shick27c76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.681,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Braden Shick29c72.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1789859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Braden Shick21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155841.4%24 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Liam Draxl66c69.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.782,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Braden Shick29c69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.012,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Liam Draxl75c68.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1665952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Liam Draxl73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4918258.8%107 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Liam Draxl75c64.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.243,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Braden Shick32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Braden Shick18c62.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114036.4%51 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Liam Draxl68c62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0435060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Braden Shick25c61.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.512,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Braden Shick28c59.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.62,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Liam Draxl74c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.338952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liam Draxl71c49.51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.367,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Braden Shick21c47.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057845.7%264 W · 314 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Braden Shick26c44.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.564,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5be0…d25cbacked Liam Draxl71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252378.3%18 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Liam Draxl68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.812942.6%55 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Braden Shick30c36.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Liam Draxl71c35.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2545744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Liam Draxl75c35.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8344465.3%290 W · 154 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Braden Shick30c34.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.452,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Liam Draxl72c30.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.645543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfccf…2aefbacked Liam Draxl74c29.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.624153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Liam Draxl68c27.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.724,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Liam Draxl73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9639154.2%212 W · 179 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b6…886ebacked Liam Draxl77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4817660.2%106 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Liam Draxl72c18.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1668857.3%394 W · 294 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Liam Draxl63c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Liam Draxl71c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6427664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbafb…3031backed Liam Draxl80c15.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0333673.2%246 W · 90 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Liam Draxl78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.372,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5e8…0a19backed Liam Draxl71c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.353767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Liam Draxl75c14.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7926047.3%123 W · 137 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Liam Draxl74c13.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4622876.8%175 W · 53 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+9.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ae3…93c3backed Liam Draxl74c13.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4614278.2%111 W · 31 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+12.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.