Tennis · resolved market
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sarah Rakotomanga
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fb5433e0e9daaafcf6e8096c256af5e1c56da8d9d94c9adb46a33dd3652d630
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noma Noha Akugueof Noma Noha Akugue, Sarah Rakotomanga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Noma Noha Akugue | 78c | 4,160$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.1 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 17c | 3,469$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.69 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 41c | 1,461$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.23 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Noma Noha Akugue | 78c | 1,086$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 15c | 1,058$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 33c | 980.1$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.55 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 21c | 971.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 36c | 934.71$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.95 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 59c | 715.28$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.26 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 11c | 528.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 38c | 500$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 6c | 389.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Noma Noha Akugue | 61c | 322.58$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Noma Noha Akugue | 72c | 277$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Noma Noha Akugue | 75c | 252.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 59c | 240$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Noma Noha Akugue | 59c | 211$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Noma Noha Akugue | 69c | 202.08$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 13c | 170.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Noma Noha Akugue | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Noma Noha Akugue | 72c | 137.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Noma Noha Akugue | 75c | 118.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 29c | 101.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 29c | 96.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5be0…d25cbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 33c | 73.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 61c | 71.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 59c | 52.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Noma Noha Akugue | 76c | 48.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Noma Noha Akugue | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 40c | 40.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Noma Noha Akugue | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 36c | 30.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Noma Noha Akugue | 67c | 29.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Noma Noha Akugue | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Noma Noha Akugue | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Noma Noha Akugue | 67c | 19.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…de5ebacked Noma Noha Akugue | 78c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 63 | 87.3%55 W · 8 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe510…3535backed Noma Noha Akugue | 74c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 114 | 73.7%84 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.