Tennis · resolved market
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jazmin Ortenzi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04c5ee5fa31ea0c3bfcb5d30578d34363c4ad58b0325bb9b9337f1e9026c41aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaitlin Quevedoof Kaitlin Quevedo, Jazmin Ortenzi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 19,526$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.16 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 5c | 14,050$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.69 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 8c | 11,697$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 71c | 5,600$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.18 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 31c | 3,851$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.74 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 72c | 3,472$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.22 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 2c | 2,809$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 11c | 1,339$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 5c | 1,294$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 71c | 1,196$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.82 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…c376backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 30c | 705.53$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.66 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 31c | 643.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 70c | 586.71$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 70c | 563.38$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.01 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 16c | 511.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 12c | 502.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 3c | 486.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kaitlin Quevedo | 70c | 480$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 28c | 400$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 16c | 368.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 29c | 339.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 16c | 321.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 76c | 320$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 12c | 309.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 32c | 237.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 70c | 220$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 72c | 195.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 7c | 166.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a74…ae2bbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 33c | 147.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 70c | 134.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 28c | 106.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…6c17backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 15c | 103.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 71c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 264 | 57.6%152 W · 112 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Kaitlin Quevedo | 68c | 66.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kaitlin Quevedo | 66c | 55.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 30c | 52.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 35c | 51.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Kaitlin Quevedo | 72c | 48.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 32c | 43.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Kaitlin Quevedo | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be0…d25cbacked Kaitlin Quevedo | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 31c | 39.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 71c | 38.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 77c | 37.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 74c | 37.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kaitlin Quevedo | 69c | 36.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 72c | 35.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Kaitlin Quevedo | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 72c | 34.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Kaitlin Quevedo | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 64c | 31.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 78c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 72c | 20.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…e96abacked Kaitlin Quevedo | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 76cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Kaitlin Quevedo | 70c | 16.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…ba3bbacked Kaitlin Quevedo | 70c | 14.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.