TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sebastian Baezof Sebastian Baez, Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff81…44c9backed Sebastian Baez78c3,809$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.031,27756.6%723 W · 554 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo24c3,252$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.191,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo6c3,116$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.129,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2f…499cbacked Sebastian Baez79c2,530$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.4210345.6%47 W · 56 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo11c2,229$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.911,13145.4%514 W · 617 L-34.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo16c1,812$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo21c1,712$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.679040.6%321 W · 469 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Sebastian Baez77c1,688$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.241,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1bf…e36bbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo7c1,385$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Sebastian Baez78c1,278$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5494968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo9c1,254$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3753655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Sebastian Baez78c1,205$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.165,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo12c1,123$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.371,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25087837.2%327 W · 551 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Sebastian Baez79c1,060$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.6410655.7%59 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo11c1,058$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11529443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10640%0 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4266…5305backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0094…eea5backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf334…0606backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704214.3%6 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo21c859.85$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.794,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo11c750$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.372,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fdd…2fb9backed Sebastian Baez75c740.21$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.053844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo13c676.91$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.183,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Sebastian Baez78c618$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.971,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo12c591.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.83,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo22c563.7$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo13c558.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.162,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo22c500$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo14c489.79$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5742125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo13c466$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.782,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo24c382.23$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo22c322.28$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.999649.5%493 W · 503 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo22c303.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.171,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo22c300$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.557953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo10c298.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.896,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo23c282.07$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo25c280$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Sebastian Baez77c256.44$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8820763.3%131 W · 76 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Sebastian Baez77c256.41$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.971,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo24c245.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo22c217.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.833,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf9…fc07backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo14c215.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015046%69 W · 81 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048630.9%150 W · 336 L+2.4wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo7c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.672,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo23c195.6$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.452,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo20c179.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4492138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Sebastian Baez78c173.33$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3385568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Sebastian Baez77c164.97$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2347854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo11c150$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.570829.1%206 W · 502 L+0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Sebastian Baez78c142.79$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4123364.4%150 W · 83 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo8c142.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0378…030bbacked Sebastian Baez77c140.48$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3110764.5%69 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefcc…8a1dbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo8c132.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Sebastian Baez77c131.41$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.221,02257.8%591 W · 431 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022235.1%78 W · 144 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Sebastian Baez78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2165652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo12c110.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.321,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Sebastian Baez77c96.43$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1833851.2%173 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a5…5a8abacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo11c96.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Sebastian Baez79c95.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo14c94.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4591755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo13c89.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.652,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sebastian Baez75c84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Sebastian Baez78c79.84$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5641272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo22c71.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo23c59.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.854746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be0…d25cbacked Sebastian Baez79c57.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.012378.3%18 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo23c56.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0523942.7%102 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e3…9696backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo22c52.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo23c51.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8319349.7%96 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,26944.8%568 W · 701 L-5.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Sebastian Baez80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1036964.2%237 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo23c49.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.137,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c7…007dbacked Sebastian Baez80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85927.1%16 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed Sebastian Baez78c35.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8333462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Sebastian Baez78c25.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6841768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed Sebastian Baez79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3225969.1%179 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b6…886ebacked Sebastian Baez78c24.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2417860.1%107 W · 71 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64fc…9b30backed Sebastian Baez77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.483865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Sebastian Baez76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.622153.4%118 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Sebastian Baez76c13.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2531657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.