Asian League · resolved market
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45fc0082d3793abe8078db794a7f088f5fc6fc9543278b551e422b499e32d9fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 5,064$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 2,395$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 51c | 1,908$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.97 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Yes | 49c | 1,454$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 637$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 44c | 631.93$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 575$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 33c | 490.75$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 433.09$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 53c | 340.16$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.88 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 60c | 302.25$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 302$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes | 47c | 300.26$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…fd49backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 51c | 264.34$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 37c | 225.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 48c | 150.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 150.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Yes | 16c | 124.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 110.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 71c | 98.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 40c | 69.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 64c | 69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 65.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 65.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 55.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be0…d25cbacked Yes | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 48c | 43.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 41.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 54c | 41.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 54c | 41.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 67c | 35.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…9782backed Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…ed9abacked Yes | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 50c | 32.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 49c | 30.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 51c | 29.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 67c | 24.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…23c5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.