Asian League · resolved market
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe294f3ecb9eda697ded0e9601d9511a085fb73b3aff81152e90e08ef2c20260f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 46c | 4,047$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.01 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 39c | 3,542$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.88 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 65c | 2,951$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.69 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed Yes | 79c | 1,786$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.04 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 38c | 1,074$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.39 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.1 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed No | 2c | 990$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 899.97$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.98 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 574.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 74c | 420.59$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.23 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 26c | 375.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.98 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 372.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.64 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 16c | 348.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 333.71$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 33c | 315.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 79c | 301$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 57c | 285.01$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 26c | 282.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.31 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 74c | 259.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…b2d8backed Yes | 78c | 255.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 25c | 241.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.39 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 217$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.88 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 36c | 200.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 195.53$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes | 54c | 195.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +159.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50b…672dbacked Yes | 53c | 194.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 75c | 158.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.73 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 24c | 147$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 50c | 130.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 34c | 103.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…6834backed Yes | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 95.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Yes | 54c | 92.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 38c | 83.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 25c | 80.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +304.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes | 53c | 73.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 24c | 73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 71.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Yes | 25c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 26c | 69.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 26c | 59.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 55.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed No | 75c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 39.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked No | 49c | 39.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 30c | 39.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 76c | 37.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…227dbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Yes | 54c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7d…0fa8backed No | 77c | 19.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 77c | 17.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1928…1171backed Yes | 72c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?No won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.