MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d4c5252dfbf6202ec5e71f521052c4a23aa8d07bfe5c09a5ef7126907e185df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $630,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $686,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $630,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 84,000$52,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,919.93 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 64,103$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 57,735$21,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,939.43 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 34,958$21,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,633.48 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 27,169$17,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,749.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 25,320$9,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,742.18 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 20,958$12,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,964.06 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.97 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 19,250$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 19,000$7,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,220.04 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 18,304$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.31 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 17,875$6,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,613.92 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 8c | 15,113$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.5 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 12,698$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698.41 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 11,974$7,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,579.82 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 11,220$6,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 10,051$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.38 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.86 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Toronto Blue Jays | 8c | 8,758$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.39 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 7,954$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.11 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 7,803$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 7,696$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.45 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 6,005$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.9 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 5,635$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 5,361$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.1 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…f305backed Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…bb80backed Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 4,962$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 4,958$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.71 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 4,851$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.24 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 4,343$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.47 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 4,248$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.37 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 3,576$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 3,562$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.63 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 2,805$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 2,679$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.33 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 2,550$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 2,400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 2,210$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.79 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,104$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.13 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9d…63f9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 8c | 2,014$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,990$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.66 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,985$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.83 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,813$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.89 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 1,803$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.26 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 1,669$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,660$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.68 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 1,627$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.62 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,585$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.18 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 1,555$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.9 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 1,341$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 1,265$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.74 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 1,206$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 1,182$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.53 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…c98fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 1,159$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…43f4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 1,039$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 1,038$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.41 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,018$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.74 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…593dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 954.84$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 902.63$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 888.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 878$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.64 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 825.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 806.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 776$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.88 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 762$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 742.86$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 682.26$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.26 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 666.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 663$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.83 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…8cf4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 648.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 647.02$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.42 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aad…16c3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 641.68$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 628.56$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…b2a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 624.3$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.48 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 618$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.84 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 606.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 600.01$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.41 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 599.99$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 599.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…f67dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 569.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…40cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.