MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f00e73feb0a51a1e1878891d96acf460d117a55c775786f12ab3793c2bd0b34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Over | 49c | 31,427$15,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,398.99 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 30,226$15,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,810.62 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 8,349$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.54 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 57c | 8,000$4,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,571.02 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 7,382$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 5,990$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.04 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 65c | 3,447$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.22 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 2,985$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.13 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 2,400$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 51c | 2,054$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.55 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,872$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.58 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 16c | 1,844$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.02 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Over | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 1,481$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,377$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 1,131$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.75 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 49c | 1,112$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.7 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.78 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 46c | 972.82$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.16 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 53c | 967.77$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.85 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 51c | 884$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.52 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 587.5$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 45c | 499.78$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.88 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 36c | 466.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 46c | 427.87$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.05 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 47c | 413.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 395.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.37 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 3c | 379.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 36c | 373.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Over | 64c | 305.55$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 56c | 270.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 23c | 239.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.09 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 23c | 208.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 203.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…27a6backed Under | 39c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 47c | 199.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 52c | 179.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 41c | 172.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 166$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Over | 49c | 164$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 156$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 146.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 41c | 143.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 54c | 125.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 46c | 113.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 52c | 102.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 63c | 99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Over | 64c | 91.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 89.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 89.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 45c | 88.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 49c | 87.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 53c | 74.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 43c | 68.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 48c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Over | 34c | 58.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…8922backed Under | 43c | 56.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Over | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 58c | 55.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 48c | 54.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Under | 45c | 54.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 46c | 54.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Under | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 20c | 53.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 52.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 63c | 51.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 45c | 51.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 51c | 51.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Under | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 41.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue JaysPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.