MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1f130957238c162bfb7c871eae95975038c2b4a9409a778b2f2bff23eef4b40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 68,645$35,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,008.9 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 63,836$31,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,536.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 21,581$10,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,034.71 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 15,778$11,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551.22 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 11,128$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,678.18 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 9,970$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,965.3 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589.97 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 6,199$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.68 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 6,012$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.98 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 5,500$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 5,368$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.57 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 4,612$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.33 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 4,543$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 3,855$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 3,808$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.89 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,615$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.39 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 2,031$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.81 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,907$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,231$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.15 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,166$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.45 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 924.78$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 920$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 856.85$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.74 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 711.54$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.61 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 680.05$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.83 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 573.94$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.71 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf98f…e563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 394.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…654fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 391.26$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 386.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 382.7$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…70e2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 379.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…6c22backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 371.28$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…c245backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 371$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 366.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 323.93$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 313$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.76 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 277.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 264$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 230.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 211.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 208.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 207.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…c745backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 196.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 196.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 192.76$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 189$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 183.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 152.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 149.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 127.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 98.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 96.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 82.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 63.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 50.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 48.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 44.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…245abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 41.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…34d0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 38.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f3…c784backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 35.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue JaysPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.