Tennis · resolved market
ITF Samobor: Jakub Vrba vs Noa Vukadin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e57a864a4446bee4240ee34ce200655bbd04c0a2c3459daa6e586736f797562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jakub Vrbaof Jakub Vrba, Noa Vukadin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Noa Vukadin | 47c | 1,634$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.94 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jakub Vrba | 52c | 1,544$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jakub Vrba | 12c | 987.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Noa Vukadin | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Jakub Vrba | 53c | 480.38$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Noa Vukadin | 51c | 440.72$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.31 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Noa Vukadin | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Jakub Vrba | 54c | 213.6$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Noa Vukadin | 77c | 128.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Noa Vukadin | 42c | 124.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Noa Vukadin | 48c | 123.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…e5adbacked Jakub Vrba | 71c | 113.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Noa Vukadin | 32c | 110.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…633cbacked Jakub Vrba | 53c | 85.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Noa Vukadin | 45c | 83.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jakub Vrba | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Jakub Vrba | 42c | 60.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Jakub Vrba | 53c | 60.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed Jakub Vrba | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Noa Vukadin | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Jakub Vrba | 76c | 46.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Jakub Vrba | 45c | 42.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Jakub Vrba | 54c | 37.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Jakub Vrba | 51c | 25.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.