Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc07598816a872433ee23ae081eb1d84b2fbbe4c344e7f67383af05b5af383239
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nick Hardtof Thiago Seyboth Wild, Nick Hardt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $338,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 63c | 81,606$51,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,367.57 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nick Hardt | 56c | 43,408$24,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,942.05 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nick Hardt | 41c | 41,494$17,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,437.76 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 27c | 33,293$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 756 | 40.1%303 W · 453 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 32c | 17,523$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.66 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Nick Hardt | 59c | 13,665$8,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.56 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nick Hardt | 40c | 10,048$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,019.6 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nick Hardt | 63c | 9,350$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465.18 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…9355backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 62c | 7,924$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nick Hardt | 37c | 5,812$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.74 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 59c | 5,727$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nick Hardt | 77c | 5,597$4,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.3 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nick Hardt | 52c | 5,368$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.54 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Nick Hardt | 64c | 4,178$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.28 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 44c | 3,398$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.55 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 60c | 3,315$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nick Hardt | 58c | 3,225$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.23 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 54c | 3,106$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.02 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 68c | 3,018$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.71 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Nick Hardt | 74c | 2,496$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.45 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Nick Hardt | 44c | 2,289$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.09 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 46c | 2,288$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.75 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 32c | 2,190$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 46c | 2,141$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nick Hardt | 37c | 2,083$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.09 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 35c | 1,993$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.08 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…5c2abacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 60c | 1,941$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Nick Hardt | 53c | 1,872$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.97 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…e6a6backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 38c | 1,805$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 62c | 1,777$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 45c | 1,731$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.74 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 43c | 1,582$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.79 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fd…a585backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 60c | 1,500$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 72c | 1,166$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 57c | 1,125$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.15 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 57c | 1,111$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.27 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 49c | 1,082$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.14 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…7fe1backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 59c | 1,000$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.75 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 59c | 951.61$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.45 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 46c | 937.22$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.75 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 63c | 926.58$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.55 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 20c | 921.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 309 | 25.9%80 W · 229 L | -29.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 59c | 915.07$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.89 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Nick Hardt | 44c | 903.34$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.63 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Nick Hardt | 48c | 868.9$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.92 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 38c | 826.74$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.23 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Nick Hardt | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 372 | 57.5%214 W · 158 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Nick Hardt | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 47c | 807.29$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.77 | 521 | 33%172 W · 349 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 62c | 801.83$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 62c | 797.24$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nick Hardt | 38c | 750$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Nick Hardt | 43c | 685.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.15 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Nick Hardt | 39c | 664.1$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.1 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 61c | 571.23$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nick Hardt | 48c | 542.78$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.86 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Nick Hardt | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Nick Hardt | 75c | 518.81$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Nick Hardt | 42c | 499.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 28c | 496.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…a03bbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 16c | 470$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nick Hardt | 42c | 457.05$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.14 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 55c | 452.73$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.51 | 280 | 31.8%89 W · 191 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 37c | 445.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 1,030 | 50%515 W · 515 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 60c | 423.87$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.32 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Nick Hardt | 44c | 416.27$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.43 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 39c | 393.34$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.95 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nick Hardt | 42c | 383.53$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.45 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 60c | 373.51$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.91 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 43c | 372.89$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 50c | 350.88$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 59c | 347.3$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1af5backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 47.8%108 W · 118 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 17c | 336.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 58c | 336.45$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Nick Hardt | 46c | 321.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.76 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 44c | 308.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…efc3backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 60c | 305$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 47c | 294.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.59 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Nick Hardt | 44c | 279.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 790 | 47.5%375 W · 415 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Nick Hardt | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…d537backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 22c | 267.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 46c | 263.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 55c | 251.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Nick Hardt | 77c | 250.63$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 950 | 47.7%453 W · 497 L | +34.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Nick Hardt | 58c | 247.28$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 368 | 54.3%200 W · 168 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nick Hardt | 50c | 246.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Nick Hardt | 47c | 238$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nick Hardt | 42c | 232.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 194 | 24.2%47 W · 147 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Nick Hardt | 41c | 222.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.88 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Nick Hardt | 37c | 218$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.34 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Nick Hardt | 40c | 217$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 390 | 52.1%203 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nick Hardt | 58c | 215.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Asuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardtthis page
- Set Handicap: Wild (-1.5) vs Hardt (+1.5)Hardt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.