Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2337f16fb976272f3bf2b474260f5370ef9da2b6dc420b2fa518ebea958982e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 36c | 3,901$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.98 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked No | 79c | 2,074$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,862$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.01 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 20c | 1,784$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.52 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,589$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.2 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 18c | 1,327$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.51 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,072$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.57 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 21c | 986.15$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.8 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 61c | 981.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.41 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 60c | 971.99$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 27c | 893.47$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.95 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 826.3$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.36 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 25c | 811.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.84 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 68c | 801.15$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.34 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 16c | 716.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.87 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 25c | 673.79$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked No | 28c | 668.7$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…a7c3backed Yes | 23c | 625.02$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.42 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 11c | 618.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…f82bbacked No | 78c | 609.17$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked Yes | 16c | 605.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.72 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 29c | 605.03$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.06 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 36c | 584.98$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.46 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 17c | 583.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 18c | 559.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.06 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 80c | 533.83$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.63 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed No | 77c | 520.85$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.51 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 66c | 516.03$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.91 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 40c | 512.7$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 22c | 487.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.43 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 20c | 485.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.53 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed No | 29c | 458.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 17c | 444.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.21 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 23c | 441.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.59 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 40c | 438.72$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.06 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.1 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 18c | 389.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 80c | 371$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.21 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 12c | 355$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.96 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 328.96$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.99 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…b5bebacked Yes | 17c | 328$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 29c | 326.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.29 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 19c | 314.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 77c | 312.48$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 310.89$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.62 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 22c | 299.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 76c | 289.13$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.29 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 17c | 268.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 78c | 246.09$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.93 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 19c | 234.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.06 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 77c | 227.12$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 16c | 223.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 5c | 219.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 79c | 207.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.93 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 23c | 196.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 15c | 191.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.57 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 19c | 189.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 71c | 181.71$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 57c | 179.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 22c | 172.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.21 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 15c | 171.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 15c | 161.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.52 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 62c | 160.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…c395backed Yes | 12c | 160$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.28 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…3e99backed Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 26c | 143.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 78c | 141.8$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 140.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 22c | 138$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…0aa2backed No | 74c | 135.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 27c | 132.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 27c | 129.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5359…6b35backed No | 80c | 129.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 15c | 129$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 15c | 129$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 13c | 125$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 122$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 17c | 116.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 17c | 116$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 47c | 111$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 78c | 110.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed No | 77c | 109.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed No | 11c | 108$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 77c | 106.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed No | 15c | 102.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…a8f4backed No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…416cbacked Yes | 22c | 99.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 30c | 99.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 23c | 91.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…f09bbacked No | 29c | 84.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 28c | 83.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 17c | 79.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 28c | 78.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…c879backed Yes | 59c | 74.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 20c | 71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.