Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Auda vs. FCSB: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3bfca70cd75d5d44bb77c09ae20a8b15fcc1b4f80d786b908efb8af7cc36535
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Audaof FK Auda, FCSB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb29…947abacked FK Auda | 43c | 2,131$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.87 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed FCSB | 59c | 1,686$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked FK Auda | 46c | 881.44$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.98 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed FCSB | 54c | 799.98$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed FCSB | 55c | 755.89$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.7 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed FCSB | 26c | 523.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…0d37backed FCSB | 57c | 489.47$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FK Auda | 66c | 477$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FCSB | 56c | 438$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FK Auda | 43c | 368.65$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.13 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed FCSB | 40c | 350$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…eda2backed FK Auda | 56c | 226.67$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed FK Auda | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked FCSB | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FK Auda | 41c | 175.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…f9bcbacked FCSB | 56c | 163.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FK Auda | 41c | 161.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked FK Auda | 45c | 145$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FK Auda | 40c | 112.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked FCSB | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked FK Auda | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d6…576fbacked FCSB | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed FK Auda | 47c | 81.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc038…07d0backed FCSB | 56c | 79.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked FK Auda | 39c | 68.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63a3…0d0cbacked FCSB | 54c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FK Auda | 80c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed FCSB | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…a965backed FCSB | 52c | 54.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed FK Auda | 48c | 52.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FK Auda | 48c | 50.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed FK Auda | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…07cebacked FK Auda | 48c | 45.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed FCSB | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: Team to Advancethis page
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: FCSB O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: FCSB O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: FCSB O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: O/U 4.5Over won
- FK Auda vs. FCSB: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FCSB (-1.5)FK Auda won
- Spread: FCSB (-2.5)FK Auda won
- Spread: FK Auda (-1.5)FK Auda won
- Spread: FK Auda (-2.5)FK Auda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.