TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FK Auda vs. FCSB: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,141 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03ea…d2a3backed Over19c523.71$98 inWon+$425.711127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c368.77$261 inLost-$261.222,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over77c347.6$268 inWon+$80.0117447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under63c339.8$213 inLost-$212.753253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under23c293$67 inLost-$67.392,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c200$100 inWon+$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd9…cbffbacked Over26c70$18 inWon+$51.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+52.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x502c…728fbacked Over76c61.21$47 inWon+$14.691250%6 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under24c59.79$14 inLost-$14.3550154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd151…6431backed Over38c52$20 inWon+$322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+110.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under23c48.27$11 inLost-$11.196947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c43.92$25 inLost-$24.93,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over75c40$30 inWon+$1020660.2%124 W · 82 L-15.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1218…511dbacked Over46c28.93$13 inWon+$15.623447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+69.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under78c26.91$21 inLost-$20.9931856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb651…b4f7backed Over64c25$16 inWon+$8.951758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.