Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Auda win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef898da2fa8f57d5bf3b801b1324e4a4f39edd2ccf5ef3c98aebb5138211c467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 8,483$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.26 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 42c | 8,086$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.9 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 1c | 4,952$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 16c | 3,228$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.36 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 37c | 2,718$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.16 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 60c | 1,552$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.27 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 18c | 1,034$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.62 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 63c | 635$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 63c | 635$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 60c | 603.68$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 19c | 537$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.35 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 64c | 505$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.85 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked No | 47c | 430$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 68c | 377.63$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 18c | 366.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.25 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 19c | 320.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.61 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 69c | 308.51$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.77 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 20c | 302.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.22 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 263.54$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 232.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 67c | 206$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.46 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 194.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…511dbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 20c | 126$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 65c | 125.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 20c | 116.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 29c | 111$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 18c | 102.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 100.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 80c | 96.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked No | 80c | 88.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 86.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 77c | 78.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 74c | 70.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 33c | 66.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 47c | 58.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 32c | 52.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 52c | 50.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 70c | 45.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 62c | 31.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 33c | 31.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 44c | 30.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 25.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…3572backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 52c | 21.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 19.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 15.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed No | 80c | 13.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Auda win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will FCSB win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will FK Auda vs. FCSB end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.