Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Auda vs. FCSB end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1ecbc7137b6c4a9f95af3ed5c5d369917bf6877b02779ae9e9401eb39aac7e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 5,681$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.41 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 21c | 3,439$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.21 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.8 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 1,176$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.11 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 1,026$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.66 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 31c | 999.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 969.69$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 925.16$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.92 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 22c | 782.09$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 669.4$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.17 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 553.45$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.76 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 24c | 327.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 78c | 192.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed No | 78c | 192.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 61c | 144$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61b…fe5ebacked No | 78c | 132$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 129.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 126.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 111.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed No | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 69c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 78c | 63.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 66c | 63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 57.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 57.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 70c | 56.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 22c | 48.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 48.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 69c | 30.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 71c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 73c | 18.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 79c | 13.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Auda vs. FCSB end in a draw?this page
- Will FCSB win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will FK Auda win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.