Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d659678cf359d8ae3d8fae2bd0c889d3bcffdac6b4620aef61342ea8a4a5f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed No | 53c | 15,020$7,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,893.71 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 12,246$9,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,698.32 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 48c | 10,408$5,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,364.39 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 20c | 9,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 80c | 7,696$6,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,156.93 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…a889backed Yes | 16c | 7,100$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,992.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +541%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…cef9backed Yes | 23c | 6,770$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 73c | 6,330$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,623.32 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…205cbacked Yes | 59c | 4,395$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 30c | 3,944$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.92 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…eb10backed No | 39c | 3,536$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…a65abacked Yes | 59c | 2,783$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed No | 4c | 2,470$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed No | 41c | 2,427$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…b501backed Yes | 26c | 2,283$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 69c | 2,143$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.64 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 47c | 1,999$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.01 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 28c | 1,883$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…0c27backed Yes | 25c | 1,788$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,689$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.95 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 41c | 1,556$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.14 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 45c | 1,493$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x233c…4548backed Yes | 19c | 1,482$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +165%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…891fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,320$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.85 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd43…dbbabacked Yes | 55c | 1,232$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 42c | 1,126$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 59c | 1,090$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.65 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed No | 73c | 1,001$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 16c | 999.97$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.16 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 76c | 929$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.79 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…e339backed Yes | 22c | 926.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…25abbacked Yes | 23c | 898.66$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.52 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…3595backed Yes | 15c | 887.81$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.28 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed Yes | 16c | 853.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.8 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes | 26c | 842.68$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.29 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 73c | 806.99$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.79 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Yes | 16c | 802.19$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +212%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 781.78$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.41 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 77c | 762$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.36 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…2273backed Yes | 22c | 746.93$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 42c | 726.56$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.81 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Yes | 16c | 661.01$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.47 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 635$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.3 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 36c | 620.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.06 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 78c | 617.6$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.9 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed Yes | 20c | 614$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed No | 79c | 547.32$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.86 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 74c | 541.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.29 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1e…d671backed Yes | 19c | 520.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.41 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 67c | 518.22$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.87 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 43c | 515.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.97 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 22c | 506.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.95 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…b852backed Yes | 18c | 488.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.32 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 59c | 488.26$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 77c | 485.02$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.48 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…ca7fbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 472.74$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.69 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 75c | 470.34$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.56 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…003ebacked Yes | 4c | 462.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b9…dc77backed Yes | 21c | 458.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +371.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 80c | 440.89$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.71 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 80c | 438.59$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.18 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 29c | 433.71$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 70c | 432.86$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 33c | 432.38$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.85 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 72c | 427.51$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.8 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 24c | 421.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.06 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 21c | 412.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…4a4ebacked Yes | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +290.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed Yes | 21c | 396.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 56c | 395.1$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.07 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…2d9bbacked Yes | 23c | 390$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.56 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…b37fbacked Yes | 18c | 378.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 26c | 377.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…17d4backed Yes | 27c | 376.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.57 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 370.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.63 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 79c | 369$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.75 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Yes | 22c | 361.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a7…04f9backed Yes | 25c | 357.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 21c | 354.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.44 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 15c | 317.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.8 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed No | 4c | 311.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 177 | 57.1%101 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.81 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 39c | 289.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…2b94backed Yes | 27c | 286$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 27cpaid | +277.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5f14backed Yes | 19c | 281.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 25c | 270.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 77c | 264.8$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.78 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3c…09f2backed Yes | 20c | 260.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 13c | 257$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c36…26bfbacked Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 23c | 243.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.41 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked No | 42c | 237.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…b283backed Yes | 21c | 236.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…20f2backed Yes | 23c | 234.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…db49backed Yes | 73c | 228.12$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43d…a48abacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?this page
- Will Argentina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.