Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bcf6cd5a6cc760d39dc3b6964f52728c3718b37af2bcf1a9d286400a991d49a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 25c | 7,160$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.53 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 73c | 4,057$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.93 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 27c | 2,822$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.6 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 76c | 2,780$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 25c | 2,355$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.93 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 75c | 1,616$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.33 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 77c | 1,573$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.91 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed No | 75c | 1,440$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.74 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 1,362$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.11 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes | 25c | 1,338$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.56 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…60b1backed No | 76c | 1,305$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…a98cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,300$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…4d61backed Yes | 24c | 1,227$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 77c | 1,202$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.7 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…6c02backed Yes | 29c | 1,165$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.67 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed Yes | 18c | 1,157$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 74c | 1,118$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.98 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 24c | 1,098$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.29 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 22c | 1,024$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.76 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 21c | 1,018$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.9 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…a16cbacked No | 72c | 970.58$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Yes | 32c | 951.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…9164backed No | 74c | 731.78$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 23c | 691.15$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 76c | 689.98$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.59 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…f765backed No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 10c | 664.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 75c | 650.68$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 26c | 599.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 23c | 582.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…7076backed Yes | 22c | 534.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…aed6backed No | 74c | 447.19$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 73c | 440.44$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.11 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 74c | 428.1$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 75c | 413$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…d5eebacked Yes | 24c | 410.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 24c | 410$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 408.58$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked No | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1e…d671backed Yes | 25c | 395$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 75c | 387$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 79c | 369$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 79c | 365.97$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 75c | 347.54$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 75c | 347.18$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 345.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 19c | 342.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked Yes | 20c | 339.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 25c | 338.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d1…f26fbacked Yes | 20c | 325$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 17c | 281.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 274.54$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…8bbdbacked Yes | 23c | 270.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 75c | 270.63$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…e339backed No | 74c | 267.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 23c | 256.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…c9e6backed No | 73c | 222.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…8e56backed Yes | 27c | 209.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 75c | 204$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…54f8backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +96%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 26c | 194.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 73c | 189.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…6138backed Yes | 25c | 187.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 76c | 187.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 77c | 182.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 34c | 180.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 178.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 28c | 176.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 17c | 174.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 166.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 22c | 163.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…4913backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 26c | 160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 25c | 159$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…a724backed Yes | 23c | 156$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 15c | 154.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 21c | 151.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 10c | 145.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415f…d305backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…f720backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8b…645cbacked No | 76c | 124.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 24c | 116.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 26c | 114.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…a973backed Yes | 26c | 109.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 16c | 106.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd990…749ebacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2746…0a59backed Yes | 27c | 102.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b18…7cf5backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…6985backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 98.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb18…21d7backed No | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a8…9cc7backed Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will Argentina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.