Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3435314d19dc0e795ab8b83ea174ba70c68165453436cee941fcfa227890f3cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 12c | 4,319$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.98 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,703$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.38 | 139 | 22.3%31 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,002$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde4…e3b1backed Yes | 10c | 1,863$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…ae97backed Yes | 8c | 1,857$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed Yes | 9c | 1,725$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 24c | 1,482$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.54 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 27c | 1,271$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.19 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,183$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 25c | 1,177$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.82 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 1,000$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.24 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 14c | 999.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…420cbacked Yes | 7c | 910.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…d259backed No | 76c | 784.53$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…17c3backed Yes | 8c | 633.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Yes | 16c | 614.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 43.9%98 W · 125 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 12c | 537.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…9d75backed Yes | 7c | 537.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 13c | 506.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +179.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d8…3ce3backed Yes | 34c | 495$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 6c | 450.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…59d9backed Yes | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 13c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | +40.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5745…fa76backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Yes | 26c | 321.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 26c | 313.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…3729backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 5c | 293$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked No | 73c | 289$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 7c | 287.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…2352backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe41…4c90backed No | 74c | 270.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…d9b3backed No | 77c | 259.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 79c | 251.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 13c | 249.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 28c | 238$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 75c | 200.17$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed No | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yes | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 6c | 169.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…1d65backed No | 71c | 162.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…cd85backed Yes | 32c | 154.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 9c | 154$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…ca52backed No | 71c | 151$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 147.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…9815backed Yes | 22c | 139.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1e…d671backed No | 76c | 131.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…1f56backed No | 75c | 128.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 27c | 126$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…b852backed Yes | 27c | 121.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 9c | 117.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes | 29c | 115.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Yes | 13c | 108.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 107.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…e2a3backed Yes | 19c | 104.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…36eebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 17c | 98.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…44e7backed No | 79c | 94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 26c | 92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 29c | 86.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…5f04backed Yes | 34c | 83.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…498ebacked Yes | 33c | 76.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…ce41backed Yes | 34c | 71.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 15c | 69.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…6258backed Yes | 29c | 69.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…62a5backed Yes | 29c | 64.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Yes | 33c | 53.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Yes | 27c | 41.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed No | 72c | 41.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed No | 73c | 41.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c9…2dacbacked No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f07…d756backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x419a…f415backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b8…7bf1backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 66c | 23.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 77c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…7ed8backed No | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +7.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Argentina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.