TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f07…d756

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,966.1%+$216.27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$67.66
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$18.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.54
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$140.8
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+494.1%+$73.45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.12
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$29.88
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$70.16
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$22.93
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$23.75
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+60%+$15
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$9.93
World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+256.9%+$128.43
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.45
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+243.5%+$37.18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$26.55
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Will Starmer say "Kanye" or "West" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$11.09
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.39
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.1
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.32
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$41.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+363.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+363.8%+$98.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.