Movies · resolved market
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7482c59ec03c0def1d1f3caef6e22aa95498a567522de7f0780f1f362ecf522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 56c | 8,645$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 65c | 8,337$5,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.11 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 73c | 5,670$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf91b…766ebacked Yes | 60c | 5,270$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 70c | 5,113$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…eadabacked Yes | 29c | 4,041$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe455…81f5backed Yes | 25c | 3,990$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc685…7a3cbacked Yes | 29c | 3,906$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…74c4backed Yes | 35c | 3,900$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50d…7979backed Yes | 24c | 3,895$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +135%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…93d7backed Yes | 31c | 3,260$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 7c | 3,182$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Yes | 8c | 2,674$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 2,672$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.07 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 70c | 2,494$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…12a9backed Yes | 53c | 2,266$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4493…3ec1backed Yes | 41c | 2,252$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 60c | 2,208$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 29c | 2,023$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.13 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…811fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,814$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…f040backed Yes | 24c | 1,623$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…544bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,579$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 28c | 1,507$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.38 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…b9b6backed Yes | 2c | 1,443$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0649…1b74backed Yes | 7c | 1,378$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed Yes | 13c | 1,335$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…496dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,273$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 1,219$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.29 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ba…9acfbacked Yes | 41c | 1,200$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x327b…5a8cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,129$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,074$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes | 14c | 1,067$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…6e05backed Yes | 25c | 1,053$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,033$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…0d5ebacked Yes | 34c | 931.96$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 16c | 918.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.84 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed Yes | 34c | 870$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.22 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 70c | 843.63$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 828.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 40c | 768.16$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked No | 73c | 728$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd4…c334backed Yes | 27c | 728$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 20c | 724.84$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…6630backed Yes | 28c | 716.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 8c | 702$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 11c | 693.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…858fbacked Yes | 74c | 669.88$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…b560backed Yes | 22c | 667.45$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…098dbacked Yes | 6c | 658.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…29d8backed Yes | 19c | 618.38$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…857cbacked Yes | 12c | 609.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 75c | 606.29$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.63 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 3c | 599.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…0badbacked Yes | 38c | 523.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8483…6d56backed Yes | 11c | 522$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 16c | 520$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…cc36backed Yes | 41c | 513$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…158ebacked Yes | 35c | 510.05$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 4c | 499.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…803abacked Yes | 7c | 499.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 4c | 484.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ee…b053backed Yes | 10c | 481.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…694abacked Yes | 34c | 465$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked No | 79c | 461$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…5604backed Yes | 56c | 456.04$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 74c | 451$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…dc0bbacked Yes | 26c | 451$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…7633backed Yes | 22c | 447.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 64c | 426$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…489fbacked No | 71c | 424.09$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 22c | 417$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c4…ea3fbacked Yes | 50c | 408.41$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 4c | 394.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 75c | 388.6$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dda…f7a4backed Yes | 28c | 359.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…b09dbacked Yes | 57c | 349.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x296c…98a9backed Yes | 16c | 346.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 33c | 341$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…c76abacked Yes | 4c | 338.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21cb…2d4cbacked Yes | 15c | 337.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe9…66a9backed Yes | 25c | 333$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 331.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 9c | 326.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 67c | 325.27$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…9483backed Yes | 5c | 323.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…90ffbacked Yes | 53c | 323$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Yes | 45c | 313.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked No | 63c | 312.62$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 4c | 311.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88f…10babacked Yes | 28c | 309.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…6940backed Yes | 43c | 307$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…1fdebacked Yes | 40c | 289.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b741backed Yes | 7c | 288.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…7854backed Yes | 53c | 285.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…f4adbacked Yes | 57c | 279.94$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 45c | 276.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 55c | 270.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?this page
- Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?No won
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No won
- Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?No won
- Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?No won
- Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?No won
- Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?No won
- James Norton announced as next James Bond?No won
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes won
- Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?No won
- Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?No won
- Theo James announced as next James Bond?No won
- Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?No won
- Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.