Fifa International · resolved market
World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0c6d12a907a4efb93f7ce4492e08f338ebe6b00b191176982ce0ee7bc397a31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 1c | 8,855$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 10c | 4,482$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.69 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 2c | 2,169$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 9c | 1,083$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 13c | 787.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899b…f36fbacked No | 12c | 698.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 668$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 14c | 503.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No | 18c | 499.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 9c | 455.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked No | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…445dbacked No | 12c | 401.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 11c | 340$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…634cbacked No | 11c | 310.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 11c | 308.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…d43fbacked No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked No | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 73c | 285.51$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…a8f0backed No | 12c | 211.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…262fbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…40adbacked No | 16c | 184.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1212…2912backed No | 11c | 160.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…b0a4backed No | 13c | 157.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe001…2fa6backed No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 145.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 138.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 10c | 137.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked No | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 12c | 133.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 9c | 121.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e37…b9d9backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f07…d756backed No | 13c | 111.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed No | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 13c | 77.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…1f07backed No | 16c | 74.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 42c | 67.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbae…6c46backed Yes | 69c | 66.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.