TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9955…e3e6backed Yes14c3,775$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,245.13100%3 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+611.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes50c3,284$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.7913444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f6f…1e55backed No0c3,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24b…ef76backed No42c2,608$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.924348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No36c1,575$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.124615.2%7 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc60…af79backed Yes56c1,514$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.063444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked No34c1,500$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.515932.7%52 W · 107 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+102.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…17a6backed No31c1,431$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4465446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff9f…fbfabacked No39c1,249$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.5550%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4478…02a4backed Yes33c1,043$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.253043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked No6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes76c978.32$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.592458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes51c954.91$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.9622725.1%57 W · 170 L+0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5b…10ebbacked No46c863.42$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed No73c860.93$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.6348224.7%119 W · 363 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3143…cd52backed Yes43c819$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked No63c796.03$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3114947.7%71 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1b7…d913backed No57c786$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No38c783.21$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5354934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20f7…5527backed No28c774.06$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.17219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0de5…d01cbacked No57c773$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f87…3929backed Yes43c740$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+218.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed No31c600$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18828434.2%97 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes41c540.28$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.6338023.9%91 W · 289 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…affebacked No4c450$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+776.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd5…dd4bbacked Yes71c355$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.151866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No50c309.28$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8127438.3%105 W · 169 L-32.3wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18913268.9%91 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ee8…1b93backed Yes25c280.76$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.371533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No54c268.54$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.011,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes55c261.82$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.827357.5%42 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No56c260$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.614637%54 W · 92 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked Yes61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.56235.5%22 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81d1…4e30backed No52c241.4$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.646942%29 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+22.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No49c229.83$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.624650%23 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Yes56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-57.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed No55c199.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No67c195$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6515650%78 W · 78 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6a…e7f6backed Yes21c155.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.32441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes55c150.9$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.916746.1%77 W · 90 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b0…d650backed No57c139.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.857570.7%53 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No22c135$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0114225.4%36 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes40c119.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.45728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid-33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e4…471abacked No29c117.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2315022.7%34 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3d…684dbacked Yes26c114.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.261637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+62.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed No63c105.88$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.71741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b1…5614backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…c427backed No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa7e…f37ebacked No62c99.26$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.262540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No32c97.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.699017.2%170 W · 820 L-148.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xaac4…d677backed No51c89.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+61.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x526e…3bd0backed Yes43c83.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.818854.5%48 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7373…7701backed Yes55c83.58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.327135.2%25 W · 46 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f96…a226backed Yes29c78.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.498051.3%41 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No57c71.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0146330.2%140 W · 323 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f8…2d1dbacked No70c71.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-85.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e81…864bbacked Yes60c67.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.131275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x823e…fc4fbacked No56c63.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.17650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+68%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x695c…10a1backed Yes40c62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.23647.2%17 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+57.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7834…f823backed Yes58c62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.281181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick53cpaid+39.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd12f…e85abacked Yes40c55.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.253432.4%11 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f07…d756backed Yes29c52.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.181540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.54650%23 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4316343.6%71 W · 92 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed No53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.556850%34 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb453…ec95backed No62c48.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e9…eac3backed No62c48.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes41c46.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.545442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x355c…e6d4backed No46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-61.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e6a…20d4backed Yes56c38.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes36c36.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.238354.2%45 W · 38 L+18.2wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+66.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No54c35.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.089152.7%48 W · 43 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8d0…6d36backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6688…fdcebacked Yes38c32.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No36c32.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f8f…7946backed No63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+252.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd584…cce2backed No39c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcecf…e206backed No61c26.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3650%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.510261.8%63 W · 39 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0174…2150backed No64c21.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.06520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-68.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes63c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1215076%114 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick74cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd02…5e41backed No62c16.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.