World Politics · resolved market
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a988ecfdf56c1dfd588ca7cb47dd65b37c93885c36b49f4c87d1d2efecc251b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 64c | 1,888$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.37 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 76c | 1,828$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.89 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 26c | 1,803$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.15 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed No | 39c | 1,197$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 73c | 978.1$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.34 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 34c | 833.57$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.07 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 65c | 803.3$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.57 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 717.39$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.56 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 32c | 693.79$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.78 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ff…4fe2backed Yes | 71c | 660.27$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 37c | 593.28$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.88 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…10ebbacked No | 27c | 548.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed No | 24c | 500.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 12c | 499$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 60c | 227.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 32c | 177.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 18c | 139$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b1…5614backed Yes | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 34c | 122.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 60c | 111.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 35c | 102.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 24c | 95.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked No | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 74c | 84.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f8…2d1dbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…9258backed Yes | 69c | 73.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x130e…cc45backed No | 50c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…649dbacked Yes | 72c | 65.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 20c | 65.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 52c | 63.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 34c | 58.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27f…b12dbacked No | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…0595backed No | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…20d4backed No | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…a397backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 74c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d75backed Yes | 59c | 32.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…2715backed Yes | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd584…cce2backed Yes | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…0037backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcf…086abacked Yes | 39c | 27.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 79c | 24.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…dacfbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358f…6602backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038d…8b2dbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…61d6backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d02…8c95backed Yes | 74c | 15.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?this page
- Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes won
- Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes won
- Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes won
- Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.