Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa295309d3894d3d05d9058ef78290ffd760fabb4c4d0d47a2a99a44759a4a2bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6f1…eb10backed No | 42c | 6,565$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.3 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 53c | 5,371$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.82 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 46c | 5,230$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.59 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 44c | 3,436$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.61 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked Yes | 33c | 3,166$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.3 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 40c | 2,170$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.11 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 38c | 1,882$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.32 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…a98cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed No | 67c | 1,464$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.36 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed No | 75c | 1,337$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.73 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…66fbbacked No | 47c | 1,264$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…7076backed Yes | 33c | 1,210$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 1,169$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.95 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 69c | 1,039$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.35 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 55c | 999.99$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.99 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 988.48$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 54c | 982.3$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.84 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc18…b400backed Yes | 54c | 900$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 59c | 894.54$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.6 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 36c | 884.84$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.33 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 21c | 874.11$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 25c | 832.03$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.64 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 76c | 808$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 61c | 742.97$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.93 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 75c | 723.08$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.33 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 30c | 692.03$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.04 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 55c | 674.59$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.22 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 41c | 670.73$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.54 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 65c | 661.56$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.34 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 36c | 645.65$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.53 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 50c | 585.82$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 79c | 568.54$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.73 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb830…b4debacked Yes | 54c | 550.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 75c | 541.76$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.44 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 58c | 541.01$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 35c | 532.33$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…692abacked Yes | 56c | 531.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked No | 47c | 529.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.46 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 62c | 520.32$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1e…d671backed Yes | 19c | 513.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed No | 74c | 509.75$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.54 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 51c | 493.66$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.35 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 68c | 490.88$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.17 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Yes | 23c | 487.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…c9e6backed No | 47c | 476.68$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 20c | 458$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 454.84$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…25abbacked Yes | 27c | 437.93$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…4760backed No | 41c | 429.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…9f7ebacked Yes | 35c | 425.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 21c | 404.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…5fa8backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…aed6backed Yes | 45c | 400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…277dbacked Yes | 25c | 398.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yes | 52c | 387.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.13 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 45c | 387.28$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.28 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…3f03backed Yes | 54c | 371.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 369$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed Yes | 24c | 364.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 48c | 358.83$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda5…ee3abacked Yes | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 65c | 320.21$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 61c | 320.1$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 75c | 319.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.11 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a43…c4a5backed No | 48c | 315.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.19 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…c33abacked Yes | 55c | 310.23$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 34c | 297.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes | 25c | 288.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 26c | 280$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 276.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…a724backed Yes | 24c | 264$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…74d6backed Yes | 27c | 263.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 38c | 233.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 76c | 231.65$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 29c | 225.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 72c | 225.14$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…11f2backed No | 45c | 220.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.26 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 31c | 206.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 206.26$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415f…d305backed No | 67c | 200.59$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…2d9bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 197.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 65c | 196.89$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 21c | 189.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 56c | 189.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 18c | 189.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed Yes | 27c | 188.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…8a07backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 34c | 170$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 55c | 169.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 46c | 160.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…b37fbacked Yes | 26c | 154.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 33c | 151.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 38c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will Argentina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.