Will Argentina win the World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2af625fa98691e234f918fb36e5063ca14d436d5d7b1a1ad299bbb1890694a3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $136,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $131,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,569 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8325…19ccbacked No	79c	21,981$17,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,516.44	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	20c	21,557$4,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,337.37	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	18c	15,265$2,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,818.47	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ed…ee18backed Yes	41c	7,293$2,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,990	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	23c	6,440$1,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,503.76	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd33c…a724backed Yes	20c	3,176$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.73	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes	19c	2,672$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.76	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	80c	2,374$1,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.94	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	43c	2,187$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946.38	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	19c	2,126$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.92	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	75c	2,011$1,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.63	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe234…304abacked Yes	20c	1,738$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.52	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	12c	1,523$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.14	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	65c	1,437$935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.33	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes	25c	1,330$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.35	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No	60c	1,262$751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.9	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	41c	1,200$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.52	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b51…866ebacked Yes	26c	1,128$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.1	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes	19c	1,010$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.82	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	12c	967.12$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.07	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	74c	886.73$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.33	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes	26c	730.2$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.8	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a0…2746backed Yes	42c	688.12$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286	197	39.6%78 W · 119 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No	79c	681.08$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.98	205	60%123 W · 82 L	+17.0wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+11%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4d6…7407backed Yes	12c	644.39$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.54	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	34c	604.87$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4263…edb3backed No	59c	576.11$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.36	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00fa…30bebacked Yes	18c	546.45$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	58c	538.22$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.41	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	12c	537.69$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.38	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb947…668abacked Yes	19c	528.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392c…42b8backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes	16c	491.57$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.91	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No	75c	439.87$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.14	216	30.1%65 W · 151 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…ee7abacked Yes	12c	432$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.66	81	24.7%20 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes	19c	425.07$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.06	178	28.1%50 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Yes	21c	412.2$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.78	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	58c	396.83$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.25	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	42c	393.11$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.65	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	21c	372.63$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.56	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	24c	353.86$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.33	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	34c	320.5$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.84	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c1…8cd6backed Yes	20c	307.59$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.21	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No	58c	298.03$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.49	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2feb…4e9dbacked Yes	18c	271.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3f…b37fbacked Yes	21c	270.76$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.86	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	76c	269$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.32	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb0…bd65backed No	66c	263.39$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.4	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	70c	252.34$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.66	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d46…e339backed Yes	20c	248.76$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes	41c	245.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes	18c	242.94$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.87	242	33.5%81 W · 161 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85f7…f5e3backed Yes	42c	239.81$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…6643backed No	77c	238.55$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.87	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.8wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x764f…5496backed Yes	42c	236.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	29.2%21 W · 51 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes	19c	222.5$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.05	337	29.1%98 W · 239 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Yes	17c	218.85$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.12	70	50%35 W · 35 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6058…5e02backed Yes	17c	197.38$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.36	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce3…f779backed No	58c	190$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.04	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes	23c	186$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.84	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes	19c	185.31$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…525fbacked No	58c	172.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.54	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a1…e821backed No	60c	167.11$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.11	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7a…500cbacked No	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes	41c	165.41$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.31	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No	66c	156.55$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.42	73	68.5%50 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf6d…f13bbacked No	79c	155$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x010d…d0e6backed Yes	11c	149.97$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.47	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	23c	148.91$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73fb…468dbacked Yes	21c	143.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4571…0744backed Yes	9c	135.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…4760backed Yes	20c	135.24$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.51	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3a…3b17backed No	57c	131.73$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.5	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf25…cd94backed Yes	42c	131.29$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	48	25%12 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes	41c	130$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.91	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	18c	124.47$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No	73c	122.67$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.12	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Yes	31c	120.83$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.15	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed Yes	42c	117.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Yes	21c	113.29$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.79	208	50.5%105 W · 103 L	+16.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d82…62e4backed Yes	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No	80c	111$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.2	239	60.7%145 W · 94 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee30…0b3bbacked Yes	11c	105$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked No	59c	100.12$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.25	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+4.5wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xda00…61b4backed Yes	40c	100.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.11	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4518…1cacbacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	57.1%101 W · 76 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ed…59e8backed Yes	20c	99.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	24c	98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.82	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes	41c	97.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a9…be50backed Yes	41c	94.43$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f6…0e74backed No	61c	93$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.63	127	52%66 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	27c	88.29$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.02	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10f…56f4backed Yes	25c	81.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b5…205cbacked No	58c	79.15$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.01	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	79c	76$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.96	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda9a…e0debacked Yes	45c	75.2$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.69	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed No	59c	74.49$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.54	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2de…9ce4backed Yes	20c	74.04$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Argentina win the World Cup?this page
Will Argentina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Yes won
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Argentina win the World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event