Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cfd50827861423673cbf401747107f034291cfacf66a2b31192fc92974f6a2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 21c | 58,107$11,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,936.48 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 41,239$32,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,341.82 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 7,130$5,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.29 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 2,158$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.98 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 78c | 1,390$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.9 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 1,069$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.35 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 808.45$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.49 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 801.23$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.27 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 679.18$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 16c | 448.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 308.21$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 78c | 238$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 221.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 79c | 208.71$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 28c | 179.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 77c | 164$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 161.51$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 79c | 138$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 78c | 104.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 77c | 96.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 68.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 78c | 47.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 71c | 35.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 75c | 32.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d0…d603backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?this page
- Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-06?No won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.