Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e912dd884bea765a4450c8e953b2b62a6099215ca10bec03899f88f959aba78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 16c | 52,654$8,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,569.33 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 15,756$12,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.74 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes | 39c | 12,920$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 65c | 12,815$8,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.25 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 39c | 7,692$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 62c | 6,466$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.08 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 4,777$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.05 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 4,615$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.04 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 3,886$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.68 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 3,866$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.93 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 76c | 3,710$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.49 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 66c | 3,016$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.68 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 68c | 2,961$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.07 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 69c | 2,234$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.91 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 1,643$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.54 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 61c | 1,264$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.87 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 1,203$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 1,136$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.24 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 26c | 928.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 832.03$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.55 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 35c | 831.97$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.53 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 63c | 761.97$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.76 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 667$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.11 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 68c | 564$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 67c | 564$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 65c | 500$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 63c | 450$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 61c | 409.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 34c | 392.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 64c | 384.91$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.57 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 325.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 69c | 311.08$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 35c | 248.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 218.09$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 186.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 35c | 152.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 33c | 112.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 72c | 101.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 72c | 101.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 17c | 90.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 16c | 79.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 79c | 72.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 78c | 71.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 35c | 60.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 58.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 68c | 54.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 71c | 54.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 23c | 54.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 32c | 52.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 65c | 46.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Yes | 35c | 41.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 61c | 38.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 64c | 36.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 68c | 36.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 34.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 65c | 27.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed No | 77c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…e80bbacked No | 62c | 16.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?No won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.