Us Politics · resolved market
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d9d1019dc213e5e76eaa87743b7ac2449a2121aabf446603b8d7cba6b05e8c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $669,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $627,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1588…c68abacked No | 0c | 51,201$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf49…286dbacked No | 0c | 24,504$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…d709backed No | 0c | 20,400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…c603backed No | 5c | 20,115$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 74c | 14,232$10,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.93 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24f0…7ad4backed No | 35c | 14,070$4,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 2c | 13,783$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.2 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…b758backed No | 24c | 11,956$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…d9fabacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…8ae1backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaace…24c9backed No | 5c | 8,409$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed No | 17c | 7,827$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…93f2backed No | 22c | 7,417$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 9c | 6,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…2dd4backed No | 12c | 5,189$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…cbacbacked Yes | 80c | 5,115$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 9c | 4,915$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.92 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…3b06backed No | 5c | 4,510$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked No | 14c | 4,164$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked No | 19c | 4,019$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…c8a5backed No | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2521…e74bbacked No | 1c | 3,595$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…05f9backed No | 15c | 3,517$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…1f51backed No | 21c | 3,302$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 7c | 3,194$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.67 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5152…1c1fbacked No | 3c | 3,188$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…6824backed No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…534ebacked No | 2c | 3,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +459.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed No | 7c | 2,787$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.09 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…8e9bbacked No | 25c | 2,759$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8881…4636backed No | 21c | 2,724$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed No | 22c | 2,626$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…b73ebacked No | 4c | 2,516$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797d…f6aabacked No | 16c | 2,502$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41d…8fe1backed No | 22c | 2,463$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…5652backed No | 4c | 2,424$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…0bd8backed No | 14c | 2,329$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 10c | 2,308$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.08 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 79c | 2,251$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.64 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 10c | 2,240$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.07 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…31c0backed No | 11c | 2,238$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed No | 7c | 2,163$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef3…5fdabacked No | 4c | 2,075$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 18c | 2,073$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.7 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,002$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…cf08backed No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6b…9390backed No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…afd0backed No | 3c | 1,935$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de7…b4a8backed No | 18c | 1,907$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…5822backed No | 14c | 1,853$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 25c | 1,837$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.15 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2f…21babacked No | 1c | 1,825$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…751bbacked No | 6c | 1,779$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 8c | 1,769$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…4535backed No | 29c | 1,750$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…61ffbacked No | 12c | 1,730$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed No | 25c | 1,711$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…169abacked No | 11c | 1,653$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked No | 39c | 1,649$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed Yes | 73c | 1,610$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.3 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 14c | 1,529$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed No | 23c | 1,500$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe8…0925backed No | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfebb…79bcbacked No | 19c | 1,456$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 18c | 1,370$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.54 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 9c | 1,283$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e6…4f99backed No | 20c | 1,276$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…68e2backed No | 24c | 1,273$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 1,257$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e8…8931backed No | 15c | 1,206$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4649…3c1bbacked No | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 76c | 1,126$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.33 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…36f6backed No | 5c | 1,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…8adbbacked No | 24c | 1,085$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 11c | 1,077$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…0d0cbacked No | 30c | 1,047$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…a259backed No | 4c | 1,041$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a8…6d0abacked No | 3c | 1,032$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…7134backed No | 18c | 1,027$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed No | 10c | 1,024$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed No | 2c | 1,022$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…ed6fbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…3344backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…e71dbacked No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…6f1dbacked No | 3c | 989.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24a…9ffdbacked No | 20c | 989.55$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 78c | 984.54$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.34 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…3105backed No | 19c | 980.76$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe587…9d4dbacked No | 26c | 966.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed Yes | 78c | 959.64$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.32 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…2574backed No | 9c | 957.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 75c | 944.75$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.85 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x389f…0c1dbacked No | 5c | 930.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…b13abacked No | 22c | 914.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 9c | 899.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 20c | 897.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.59 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…76aebacked No | 23c | 859.65$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.