Europa Conference League · resolved market
FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fabee490fdb4bc0bc574206af93094498da79b0107893de743cd93bc69e2a7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 60c | 6,730$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.72 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 3,949$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.57 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 61c | 2,077$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,457$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.43 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 1,212$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.46 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 1,078$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.93 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 39c | 655$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.75 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3098…20e8backed Over | 54c | 558.47$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 43c | 522.6$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.29 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 59c | 508.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Under | 40c | 444$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Over | 49c | 376$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.24 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Over | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…527abacked Over | 59c | 304.05$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Over | 35c | 299.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 42c | 172$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 151.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 43c | 149.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 42c | 134$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 41c | 121$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 59c | 100.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e955backed Over | 26c | 97.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 43c | 95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 41c | 94.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…0aa3backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed Over | 49c | 81.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Under | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Over | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 43c | 73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa41…f05dbacked Under | 42c | 64.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 42c | 62.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed Under | 52c | 49.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1674…93c0backed Over | 25c | 40.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 42c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 34.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…d2fcbacked Over | 59c | 34.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…8e0dbacked Over | 59c | 34.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Over | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…9f97backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf187…b390backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854c…a964backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5this page
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.