Europa Conference League · resolved market
FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb2e7baed35ac1ff0edce33a9ac214edf53c2b591d08ec19e8cc12a48f049028
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd382…8885backed Under | 74c | 1,690$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 27c | 924$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 381.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 73c | 326.06$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 36c | 278.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 64c | 277.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 144.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Under | 66c | 124.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 35c | 111$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Under | 65c | 106.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 15c | 101$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 25c | 96.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 35c | 87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 81.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 34c | 65.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 20c | 65.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 35c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Over | 35c | 62.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Under | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Under | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Under | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Under | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Under | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Under | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 15.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5this page
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.