Europa Conference League · resolved market
FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b5b239f23f14a78ff631f6625b7d26023a28ad444e554502dd65356f4544c50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 2c | 954.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 813.94$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 591.6$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.59 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 21c | 446.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 20c | 148$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 19c | 122$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 20c | 121$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 75c | 77.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 68c | 60.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Over | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…4593backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 80c | 15.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5this page
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.