Europa Conference League · resolved market
FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc51b75dbf4902acde4d14377b19ea0265e4946eabf6e299bae0ef821491759ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 52c | 1,491$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 47c | 953.78$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.34 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 600$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 413.25$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 307.09$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.34 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 46c | 281.26$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 45c | 222.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Yes | 55c | 181.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 46c | 152$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed No | 46c | 145$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 45c | 124.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 46c | 107$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 46c | 93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 55c | 91.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…8d21backed Yes | 56c | 74.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…f162backed Yes | 56c | 71.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.38per pick | 56cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 55c | 58.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 57.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 44c | 41.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Yes | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Yes | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…51b9backed Yes | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Yes | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 44c | 33.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 45c | 33.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Yes | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Yes | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Yes | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Yes | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75d8…180dbacked No | 47c | 25.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Yes | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Yes | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.