Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf358c803e6da16f92230cedb4536f4ed65d477edb1dff6e90100d50976096196
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 43,485$15,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,620.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked No | 2c | 25,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 21,449$10,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,153.31 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 20,797$4,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,961.48 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 4c | 14,428$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.48 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 13,066$6,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,774.3 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 9,045$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.06 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…3ee2backed Yes | 67c | 6,803$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.45 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 60c | 6,722$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.07 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 9c | 5,977$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.94 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…e160backed Yes | 48c | 5,027$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 48c | 4,700$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked No | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 27c | 3,882$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.94 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 3,306$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 1c | 3,062$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed No | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +445.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…4488backed Yes | 49c | 2,967$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 2,869$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.3 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 65c | 2,712$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.18 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 22c | 2,679$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.49 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed No | 19c | 2,650$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 48c | 2,559$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.48 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 54c | 2,288$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.53 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a05…e993backed Yes | 70c | 2,151$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.23 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 121 | 23.1%28 W · 93 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.99 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 1,883$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.64 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…2023backed Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 52c | 1,571$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.75 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,507$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.31 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked No | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +214.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.98 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked No | 35c | 1,112$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.22 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…7565backed No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 48c | 1,037$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.99 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked No | 2c | 1,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…f793backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 52c | 999.95$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.98 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 52c | 999.93$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.97 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 49c | 964.92$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.11 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 15c | 940.78$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de0…42ddbacked No | 53c | 926.7$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 64c | 845$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 52c | 836.54$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 51c | 806.84$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.49 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 14c | 797.42$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebc…6bfdbacked Yes | 64c | 780.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.27 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 19c | 758.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 56c | 733.38$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.47 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 4c | 709.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 51c | 672.77$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 13c | 629.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…a35dbacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 63c | 608.55$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 48c | 604.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.17 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed No | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Yes | 48c | 524.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.74 | 185 | 54.6%101 W · 84 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked No | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 20c | 493.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 52c | 473.88$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.28 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 48c | 455.13$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 64c | 419.94$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.18 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…8152backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes | 49c | 394.39$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.14 | 132 | 37.1%49 W · 83 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 34c | 366.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 57c | 342.43$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 55c | 289.29$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…4d0cbacked Yes | 70c | 286.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 53c | 267.7$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 7c | 258.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 48c | 218.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 13c | 215.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Yes | 51c | 215.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Yes | 77c | 214.76$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 6c | 213.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed No | 32c | 211.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…f50bbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23bd…1a92backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 49c | 204.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?this page
- Argentina leading at halftime?No won
- England leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.