Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50dc6ed570bdebeed466ef1145bd63093343983cb183edf200804856a4eadb5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $358,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ede…46e8backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 25c | 27,395$6,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,935.31 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 22c | 25,796$5,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,731.18 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 22,555$16,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,746.99 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 25c | 17,816$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.99 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 15,973$11,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.83 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 12,580$9,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.62 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…e03cbacked No | 76c | 9,992$7,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.06 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 0c | 8,797$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 8,414$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 74c | 6,866$5,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.56 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 78c | 4,391$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.86 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 4,010$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.35 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…fe99backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed No | 75c | 3,231$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.75 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed No | 75c | 3,229$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.19 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed No | 76c | 2,296$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.5 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 23.1%28 W · 93 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 1,902$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yes | 26c | 1,754$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 75c | 1,487$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.75 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…e264backed Yes | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 75c | 1,365$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.07 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…b397backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…0d9bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…bee9backed Yes | 5c | 1,087$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 75c | 970.53$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.63 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 9c | 845$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 839.76$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe0…56eabacked Yes | 22c | 807.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 763$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.38 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 752.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 10c | 700$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 25c | 660$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 659.78$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.6 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…6a3bbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…e419backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 2c | 609.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 75c | 598.21$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.55 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…8958backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 75c | 548$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 6c | 538.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…31c8backed Yes | 18c | 536.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 16c | 530.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 25c | 520.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 22c | 495$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 26c | 480$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…4e03backed Yes | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 7c | 400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…3e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2f…ab2abacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 294 | 28.9%85 W · 209 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 13c | 370.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…91f6backed Yes | 9c | 345.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 23c | 332$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 26c | 317.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 25c | 295.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…bb37backed Yes | 8c | 271.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…b0ccbacked Yes | 14c | 264.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Yes | 10c | 258.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 146 | 34.2%50 W · 96 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed No | 78c | 255.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…e963backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 22c | 240.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…1885backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…22f7backed Yes | 8c | 235.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 208 | 14.4%30 W · 178 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 26c | 211.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…ba4abacked No | 75c | 204.09$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…0874backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…6599backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 25.3%23 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…e1acbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…d5c5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 13c | 192.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bd…3ecfbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 30.2%49 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 25c | 188$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 183$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 75c | 174.66$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 25c | 160$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…6600backed Yes | 17c | 157.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina leading at halftime?this page
- England leading at halftime?No won
- England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.