TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Aggressive" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99bc…4f35backed No13c558.8$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7680225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8af7…8dd2backed No14c328.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.992055%11 W · 9 L+7.2wins+0.36per pick19cpaid+146%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4252…5db1backed Yes75c325.8$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.191275%9 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+61.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No60c180$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10821063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba57…5513backed Yes39c96.62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…4c78backed No60c74.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9912359.3%73 W · 50 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes25c69.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4948961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed No61c65.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5719742.6%84 W · 113 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes40c55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3376445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9434…d8d8backed No63c43.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a1…ddbcbacked Yes37c41.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.054045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes57c27.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9917340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked No63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.696358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.621850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x394d…cc94backed No62c17.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+82.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.