Fifa International · resolved market
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0698e041c208fde0ccd34e1c4f45df9db222ccafa0ce8ee20bf06e7b0eb5bd0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 80c | 1,714$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.45 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 30c | 1,249$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.55 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 5c | 359.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…e256backed No | 72c | 306.39$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 71c | 205.07$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 359 | 58.5%210 W · 149 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 26c | 126.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed No | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 23c | 107.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 96.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 80c | 59.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd850…e26cbacked No | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | -16.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 76c | 43.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…4188backed No | 70c | 41.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…e8b7backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | -29.6wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 76c | 25.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…9d7fbacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 21.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…a8cebacked No | 77c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d7…c714backed No | 76c | 17.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…3ca6backed No | 71c | 14.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?this page
- Will the announcers say "Aggressive" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Challenge" 5+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Guadalajara" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Magic" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Throw In" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Weather" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.