TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcfd2…e68cbacked No24c601.5$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.941553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes67c565.96$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.377045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes76c325.05$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6945736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c1…97eabacked No35c132.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.813141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No36c83.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2821944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21eb…a9fdbacked No34c57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.652740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed No27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5611928.6%34 W · 85 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes73c49.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.495036%18 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6630…6ae9backed Yes48c45.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.711233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No28c40.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6448636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x333d…e8b7backed Yes76c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked Yes76c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+69.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No34c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.621850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf26e…cf82backed No33c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes76c39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6413148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes60c32.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked Yes76c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.244045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5621063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.416646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.417652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.