TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes52c1,145$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.148961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No50c293.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.867950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c6…243bbacked No48c186.37$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.911838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c81…4c46backed Yes72c135$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.152343.5%10 W · 13 L-5.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-36.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Yes64c101.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528525.9%22 W · 63 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No37c84.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5435958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc31…3fe8backed No37c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.45569.1%38 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No38c78.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6721944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.213148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf26e…cf82backed No46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed No49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.511133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed No48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264050%20 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No48c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9611038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes75c47.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4137747.7%180 W · 197 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No49c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.447856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x333d…e8b7backed No48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.81250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Yes63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.25827.6%16 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked No48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.81060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+69.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed Yes62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.85545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked No48c27.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.494045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a72…a2abbacked No48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.522835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed No48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.483850%19 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3831…afedbacked Yes67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes67c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0616646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.