TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,603 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes27c1,215$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.527045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes20c999.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9814234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No72c896.33$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.4434151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1c…1ec7backed No4c716.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.15825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3157…7ebdbacked No80c366.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe459…0e18backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No75c327$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4423357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No73c299.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9935958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No73c250$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18317652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd2…87f8backed No80c245.28$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.22520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No72c243.81$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5413148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d5…32a1backed No80c156.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca54…79a2backed No80c107.18$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No71c95.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8935954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked No72c63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.368043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcef…3599backed Yes26c57.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.511233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3715…9d3abacked No79c55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.556157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes23c48.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.098540%34 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes27c40.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.662,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59d7…94b2backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No76c39.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8321944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8ff…627fbacked Yes26c39.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.182962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No72c25.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0116847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f0c…3003backed No74c20.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53d5…96cabacked No72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5a33…d2fcbacked No72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c4e…804cbacked No72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf0…9ff3backed No80c16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No76c15.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.717249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed No75c14.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118473.4%135 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No75c13.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.311256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.