TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Panthers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$837,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$866,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $837,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Panthers50c149,704$74,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,027.6588151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Panthers51c142,687$72,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,93111955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kings49c84,924$41,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,756.9310050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Panthers49c50,265$24,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,685.4442552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Kings50c45,626$22,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,813.2221652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings51c41,958$21,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,268.231,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Kings51c30,000$15,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,299.413339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Kings50c27,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,50010356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Panthers50c26,151$12,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,171.6925449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Kings26c24,901$6,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,533.643818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-62.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Kings50c24,500$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,25040550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Kings49c21,055$10,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,237.2110451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings43c19,717$8,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,411.3944848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Kings50c18,000$8,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,9105950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Panthers76c15,366$11,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.1161848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Panthers49c15,057$7,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,679.2541246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8525…f152backed Kings50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Kings52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80011352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Panthers49c15,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.9314253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers49c13,624$6,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,993.8892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Kings52c12,622$6,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,548.161040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kings50c12,500$6,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,27556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Kings26c12,220$3,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,177.1614538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Kings51c10,800$5,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,508771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Panthers51c10,315$5,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,048.6485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Panthers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00010352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Kings49c9,000$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,36516743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers49c8,993$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,625.970547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Kings49c8,199$4,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,017.7438844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Kings50c7,750$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,87520147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x570e…64a4backed Kings27c7,248$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Panthers35c7,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5501729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4991…5ecdbacked Panthers50c6,169$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.74742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x405f…45cebacked Panthers73c5,784$4,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers50c5,100$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.8657453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55015949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Kings48c4,900$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.9923642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panthers67c4,825$3,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.211,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings50c4,639$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.3989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Panthers63c4,356$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.0395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings51c4,125$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.7593953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9601,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Kings49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9605446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Kings53c3,962$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.341127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers47c3,826$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.711,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Panthers76c3,796$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.9618262.1%113 W · 69 L+15.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Panthers51c3,565$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.7110658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers50c3,533$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.361,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Kings51c3,500$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78530447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Panthers51c3,432$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.726254.8%34 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Kings25c3,345$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.34035%14 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings51c3,333$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.8386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings51c3,214$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.141,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Kings50c3,138$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.4637847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers64c3,106$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.313,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Kings49c3,097$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.7169550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Kings51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53013333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Kings50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Panthers49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5306443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kings31c2,994$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.4758841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Kings50c2,942$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.0111947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Kings48c2,500$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2056648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Panthers52c2,500$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.3111946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings50c2,481$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.441,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kings50c2,475$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.2551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Panthers50c2,413$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.62227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-43.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Panthers80c2,188$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.412552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Kings50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008541.2%35 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Panthers74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5205858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Kings50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8182…e54fbacked Kings51c1,788$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3776…7b88backed Panthers50c1,668$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1483…2287backed Panthers50c1,666$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bc6…a653backed Kings51c1,635$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda4b…8ce9backed Kings51c1,633$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers51c1,617$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.8426344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Kings50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Panthers49c1,452$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.541,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe966…0228backed Kings7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Panthers59c1,418$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.219949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Kings42c1,391$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.8733848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Panthers49c1,357$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.9591653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings50c1,272$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.791,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Panthers49c1,247$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.975350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Kings48c1,210$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.853337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Kings50c1,118$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5597152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Kings52c1,050$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers64c1,040$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.771,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbd…8d64backed Panthers49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe40c…21a1backed Kings52c1,020$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed Kings51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36ea…be40backed Kings50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+61.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings24c999.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24041340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e9…5e83backed Kings51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Kings52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Panthers49c950.99$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48515448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings32c933.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.