NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8877812c8b0199d5d7a23380230c362d0fd63e791d2f9ae0f83ef4aff0aff55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Kings, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x213a…697abacked Kings | 29c | 7,956$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Panthers | 71c | 6,861$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.12 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…cdc5backed Kings | 29c | 4,584$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kings | 29c | 3,953$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.37 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…02c1backed Panthers | 71c | 3,616$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…0c90backed Panthers | 71c | 2,941$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…493abacked Kings | 29c | 2,300$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…9076backed Kings | 29c | 1,950$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30d…4bedbacked Panthers | 71c | 1,851$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…a478backed Panthers | 71c | 1,657$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…cb44backed Panthers | 71c | 1,427$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…c307backed Panthers | 71c | 1,399$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…1cabbacked Panthers | 71c | 1,327$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b885backed Panthers | 71c | 1,306$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…4909backed Panthers | 71c | 1,287$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…dfb4backed Panthers | 71c | 1,244$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…e0bfbacked Panthers | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…de47backed Kings | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…69fabacked Kings | 29c | 1,126$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…7de9backed Kings | 29c | 1,124$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5a…ee3cbacked Panthers | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…a8c8backed Panthers | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…5ea6backed Kings | 29c | 1,036$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…0f9fbacked Kings | 29c | 1,026$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d81…56b1backed Kings | 29c | 1,012$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa948…e45abacked Kings | 29c | 1,011$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ede…da07backed Panthers | 71c | 1,010$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847a…944fbacked Panthers | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f6…6199backed Kings | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…9c58backed Panthers | 71c | 851$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…f7e4backed Panthers | 71c | 850$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…1d73backed Kings | 29c | 847$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…3911backed Panthers | 71c | 820$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f7…be88backed Kings | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c6…1c31backed Panthers | 71c | 780$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Kings | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe85…0628backed Kings | 29c | 750$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers | 71c | 738$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.02 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…e6a4backed Panthers | 71c | 730$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d9…e7cebacked Panthers | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…52d2backed Panthers | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…4bacbacked Kings | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8571…61fabacked Kings | 29c | 688$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f1…5b3ebacked Kings | 29c | 662$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab0…a159backed Kings | 29c | 621$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe746…a739backed Panthers | 71c | 610$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…df86backed Kings | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…5c6bbacked Kings | 29c | 560$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee7…88dfbacked Kings | 29c | 560$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…9d96backed Panthers | 71c | 550$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Panthers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…3be5backed Panthers | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…52bebacked Panthers | 71c | 480$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…c216backed Panthers | 71c | 475$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d42…c873backed Panthers | 71c | 455$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…ac11backed Kings | 30c | 309.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked Kings | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Panthers | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Panthers | 50c | 192.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Kings | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a76…ddd4backed Panthers | 73c | 115$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa979…21cfbacked Kings | 30c | 115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Kings | 27c | 66.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…ba9cbacked Kings | 29c | 63.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings | 27c | 49.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers | 69c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Kings | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed Panthers | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. KingsPanthers won
- Panthers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.