Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36d8de838ef38935d079181f26f7c02a8410223f8ab867393e65f86a1d345bc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valencia | 51c | 3,717$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.79 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Valencia | 48c | 2,230$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Real Madrid | 54c | 1,855$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Real Madrid | 54c | 1,800$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valencia | 49c | 1,771$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.08 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Real Madrid | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.75 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Valencia | 47c | 1,084$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.04 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Real Madrid | 52c | 974.34$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Real Madrid | 36c | 856.97$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked Real Madrid | 53c | 739.21$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Real Madrid | 44c | 631.92$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Valencia | 46c | 604.89$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.64 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Real Madrid | 36c | 556.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Valencia | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Real Madrid | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Real Madrid | 52c | 499.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Valencia | 68c | 310.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Real Madrid | 53c | 301.15$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Valencia | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Valencia | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Valencia | 48c | 207.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Real Madrid | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Real Madrid | 55c | 183.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b00…6499backed Real Madrid | 64c | 172.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Valencia | 45c | 162$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Real Madrid | 50c | 159.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Valencia | 47c | 157.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Real Madrid | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Real Madrid | 17c | 131.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Real Madrid | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Valencia | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Valencia | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Real Madrid | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Real Madrid | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Real Madrid | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Valencia | 45c | 85.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Valencia | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Real Madrid | 52c | 76.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…50f1backed Valencia | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Valencia | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Valencia | 48c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Real Madrid | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Real Madrid | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Valencia | 46c | 51.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Valencia | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…2c69backed Real Madrid | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Valencia | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…da80backed Real Madrid | 54c | 49.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Real Madrid | 34c | 47.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Real Madrid | 45c | 42.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…a5c2backed Valencia | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Valencia | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Real Madrid | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bc…6e05backed Real Madrid | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Valencia | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Valencia | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.