TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Predators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Predators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Stars59c75,201$44,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,909.081,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Predators41c48,665$19,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,822.8588151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Predators42c17,618$7,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,390.9237847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars59c11,777$6,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,884.111,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Predators38c9,150$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.761,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Predators41c8,996$3,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,674.0970547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Predators41c8,349$3,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.151,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Stars51c7,376$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,598.9985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Stars33c5,082$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,429.321,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Stars38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Predators43c4,967$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.6311955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Stars56c4,631$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.225745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Predators54c4,379$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.1840550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Predators41c4,245$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7402,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Stars59c4,153$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.545453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Predators41c2,583$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.1142847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Stars60c2,568$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.9956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Stars59c2,539$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.1910658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Predators39c2,271$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.6233848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Predators62c2,256$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.7414538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Predators48c2,090$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7682043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars59c2,015$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.4263249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b1…2c46backed Stars58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Stars59c1,894$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.9754047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Predators42c1,859$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.886055%33 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Stars59c1,848$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.4969550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Predators51c1,841$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.553,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stars70c1,736$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.3761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Predators41c1,729$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Predators41c1,700$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.9924845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Predators31c1,676$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.989949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Predators40c1,606$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stars71c1,554$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.7399638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Stars58c1,534$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.434067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Predators41c1,500$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked Predators41c1,400$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5742962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Stars59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49220147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Predators41c1,139$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46744848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars57c1,118$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.741,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Stars57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4306648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Stars58c862.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.071266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Stars60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.336443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2e…b5e5backed Stars59c770.73$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3161361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Stars70c763$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5952172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Stars60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005054%27 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e1…82a6backed Predators59c722.59$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1760…a96abacked Predators42c720$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars63c668$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.331,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Stars45c624.87$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.9684953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Predators49c622$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.451,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7780…f218backed Predators41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2461822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-53.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb800…e43abacked Predators41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2461850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Stars59c596$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9857453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x072a…3e85backed Stars59c520.37$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.473652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Stars58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2423653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee13…0ff0backed Stars59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Stars60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20019548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Stars60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20017841%73 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Predators61c465.95$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.172,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Predators42c457.02$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9541246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Predators61c454.98$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.793953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12e…7a26backed Stars58c420$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars56c420$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Stars58c410.72$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.461,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Stars59c360$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.641248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Stars59c360$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.616346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Predators41c357.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7726848.5%130 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars58c356$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5266951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Predators68c354.88$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3233837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7679…8c3abacked Predators36c331.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-47.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Stars60c330.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.622949.3%113 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Stars32c327.42$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.421040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Stars53c321.65$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1430946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Predators41c317.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Stars32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.539343%169 W · 224 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Stars58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12675946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x407e…61cabacked Stars58c299.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Predators58c287$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Stars40c266.44$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.133040%12 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Predators46c266.17$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.761,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd805…0d78backed Predators42c239.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed Predators42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Stars27c234.48$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.171573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+46.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Stars57c223.32$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.915844.8%26 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Predators44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Predators41c200$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x472c…a000backed Stars50c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1016857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9005…d988backed Predators45c183.78$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97da…d63bbacked Predators41c169.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6920249.5%100 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Stars59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Stars60c166.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.882540%10 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Predators28c152.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9960141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Predators41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Predators30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515044.7%67 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Predators42c147.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7820651%105 W · 101 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Predators41c143$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6358841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Predators42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6069142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Predators42c130$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.778038.5%300 W · 480 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars59c126.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.071,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07b…467dbacked Predators42c121.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.071533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.